Architects are optimistic about Tampa Bay's development pipeline, even in Covid's wake

Gensler Tampa office
Bookshelves and workspace inside Gensler's Tampa office
Nola Laleye
Ashley Gurbal Kritzer
By Ashley Gurbal Kritzer – Real Estate Editor, Tampa Bay Business Journal
Updated

Because architects first engage with major construction projects several years before they break ground, their workload is seen as a sort of canary in the coal mine for the overall real estate and construction industries.

Tampa Bay architects don't expect the region's construction boom to slow anytime soon, even in the wake of the novel coronavirus pandemic.

The regional chapter of the American Institute of Architects conducted its third annual survey to gauge the development pipeline and found that the majority of 104 respondents — 70 percent — expect demand for their services to increase in the year. Slightly more, 71 percent, anticipate that the development-related economy will be "excellent" or "good." No one predicted that it will be "poor" or "very poor"; the remaining 29 percent predicted it would be "fair."

Architects first engage with major construction projects several years before they break ground. If architects are feeling optimistic about the development pipeline, the real estate and construction industries are likely teed up for another two to three years of robust growth.

Hancock Whitney Bank sponsored the survey. Eighty-five percent of respondents were either principals or managers.

“Most architects will be extremely busy this year, which points to significant construction-related growth well into 2022,” Peter Hauerstein, president of the board of directors for AIA Tampa Bay and an architect at Sol Design, said in a statement. “The economy in the Tampa Bay area is proving to be much more resilient than in many other cities, and this is a great place to be an architect right now.”

In fact, many respondents said they struggle with recruiting: Two-thirds of respondents said they struggle to hire skilled workers.

Health care, aviation and office space were among the sectors most impacted by the pandemic, according to respondents.

Here are some other key findings of AIA Tampa Bay's survey:

  • 85 percent of respondents believe that the pandemic will change how HVAC systems are designed
  • 52 percent strongly agree or agree that their organization will hire more employees in 2021
  • 87 percent expect their revenue to grow, with 33 percent expecting it to be by more than 10 percent
  • 13 percent believe their revenues will not grow in 2021